Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will the most expensive AI training run be in the following years, in millions of USD?

7
10
25 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Yearresolution
Year25thmedian75th
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1k
60.28
127.7
213.7
0.2%

What was the final result?178

Community Baseline Score
18.0
Community Peer Score
65.4
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 17
Authors:
will_aldredLawrence
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Business of AI
AI Training and Compute
AI Technical Benchmarks
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
2021-2025 Leaderboard
US dollar
OpenAI

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