When will GPT5 be announced?

conditional

condition

Deepfake Attempt in Major News in 2023

Resolved :Yes

if yes

if no

When will GPT5 be announced?

Jan 1, 1970

When will GPT5 be announced?

Jan 1, 1970

Resolved :Annulled

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Make a Prediction

Deepfake Attempt in Major News in 2023	When will GPT5 be announced?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2026-05

...

2024-05

2024-08

2025-02

6.3%

Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Scott Alexander

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? → When will GPT5 be announced?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-02

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

15%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Scott Alexander

Machine learning

Artificial intelligence

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Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? → When will GPT5 be announced?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-02

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

15%

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Deepfake Attempt in Major News in 2023

When will GPT5 be announced?

When will GPT5 be announced?

Make a Prediction

Deepfake Attempt in Major News in 2023

When will GPT5 be announced?

Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? → When will GPT5 be announced?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

Comments

Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? → When will GPT5 be announced?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? → When will GPT5 be announced?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? → When will GPT5 be announced?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?