When will GPT5 be announced?

conditional

condition

Deepfake Attempt in Major News in 2023

Resolved :Yes

5 forecasters

if yes

if no

When will GPT5 be announced?

2024-08-25

When will GPT5 be announced?

2024-08-10

Resolved :Annulled

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Make a Prediction

Deepfake Attempt in Major News in 2023	When will GPT5 be announced?
if yes	My Prediction: -
if no	My Prediction: -

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2026-05-15

...

2024-05-18 15:12

2024-08-25 20:28

2025-02-10 03:37

6.3%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? → When will GPT5 be announced?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-04-01

Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Generative disinfo is real — you’re just not the target, warns deepfake tracking nonprofit

TechCrunch•Nov 13, 2024

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Red State•Nov 13, 2024

Operator will be with you shortly: OpenAI’s PC controlling AI agent coming in January 2025

•Nov 14, 2024

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Legislation Limiting LLMs Introduced? → When will GPT5 be announced?

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-04-01