Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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conditional
condition

AI in 2024 Presidential Debates

Resolved :No
11 forecasters
if yes
if no

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

2026-01-15
Resolved :Annulled2026-01-15

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

2026-04-04
5
1

Make a Prediction

AI in 2024 Presidential Debates

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2035-01-01
...
...
...
...
2025-05-05 10:12
2026-01-15 06:13
2027-01-06 17:02
1.9%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
dschwarz
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Joe Biden
Republican Party (US)
Donald Trump
Democratic Party (US)
United States
2020 US presidential election
OpenAI
Chatbot
Gallup (company)

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