Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

conditional
condition

AI-driven attack on US election on Facebook

6 forecasters
if yes
if no

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

2025-06-09

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

2026-05-02
2
0

Make a Prediction

AI-driven attack on US election on Facebook

When AI concern go mainstream in US?

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2035-01-01
...
...
...
...
2024-11-14 17:38
2025-06-09 18:13
2026-03-06 13:25
1.6%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
dschwarz
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2021-2025 Leaderboard
United States
Astroturfing
2020 US presidential election
Gallup (company)
Nate Silver

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