Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

5
27
36 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 18

Make a Prediction

YearMe
2023
no
2030
15%
2026
3%
2024
0.1%
Resolved Dec 31, 2023
Community Baseline Score
99.1
Community Peer Score
1.2
Learn more about scores here.
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