Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Short Fuse: Will the 'Titan' submersible be recovered intact by noon ET on Thursday, June 22?

Resolved :No0.4%
6
6
Total Forecasters87
Community Prediction0.4% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 0.4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
88.3
Community Peer Score
9.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
uganda
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Technology
2023 Leaderboard
Newfoundland (island)
Wreck of the RMS Titanic
Atlantic Ocean
Titan (moon)

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