Question

Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023?

Resolved:Yes

64 comments64

Total Forecasters182

Community Prediction

99%

(98% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-29.8

Community Peer Score

5.5

Authors:

mriddle

Opened:

Jul 4, 2023

Closes:

Jul 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jul 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 6, 2023

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

New York Stock Exchange

Dow Jones Industrial Average

How major US stock indexes fared Friday, 5/5/2025

Associated Press•May 6, 2025

Will 2025 Bring Similar Cheer For S&P 500? Here’s What Wall Street Expects.

Forbes•May 5, 2025

How major US stock indexes fared Friday, 5/2/2025

Associated Press•May 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

58%

Will the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below an average of 88 for any 90-day period before the 2029 presidential inauguration?

40%

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

54%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

mriddle

Opened:

Jul 4, 2023

Closes:

Jul 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jul 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 6, 2023

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

2023 Leaderboard

New York Stock Exchange

Dow Jones Industrial Average

How major US stock indexes fared Friday, 5/5/2025

Associated Press•May 6, 2025

Will 2025 Bring Similar Cheer For S&P 500? Here’s What Wall Street Expects.

Forbes•May 5, 2025

How major US stock indexes fared Friday, 5/2/2025

Associated Press•May 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

58%

Will the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below an average of 88 for any 90-day period before the 2029 presidential inauguration?

40%

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

54%

Will the Dow Jones close at or above 35,000 before August 1, 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

Will the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below an average of 88 for any 90-day period before the 2029 presidential inauguration?

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

Comments

Will the S&P 500 index experience a drawdown of at least 40% before 2027?

Will the US Dollar Index (DXY) drop below an average of 88 for any 90-day period before the 2029 presidential inauguration?

Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025?

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