Question

Will a mandatory evacuation order be issued for any area of Virginia related to any tropical cyclone in 2023?

Resolved :No0.3%

8 comments8

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction0.3% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

75.6

Community Peer Score

20.5

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jun 30, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 4, 2024

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Eastern Shore of Virginia

Australians in some east coast areas urged to evacuate for 'very rare' cyclone

•Mar 5, 2025

Severe storms heading for East Coast as 10M are under a new tornado watch

New York Post•Mar 5, 2025

Severe Thunderstorm Warning in 2 States As Tornado Threat Looms

Newsweek•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

10.7

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jun 30, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 4, 2024

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Eastern Shore of Virginia

Australians in some east coast areas urged to evacuate for 'very rare' cyclone

•Mar 5, 2025

Severe storms heading for East Coast as 10M are under a new tornado watch

New York Post•Mar 5, 2025

Severe Thunderstorm Warning in 2 States As Tornado Threat Looms

Newsweek•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

10.7

MetaculusM

Will a mandatory evacuation order be issued for any area of Virginia related to any tropical cyclone in 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

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