Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many days will the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV metro area experience an Air Quality Index value above 150 in 2023?

Resolved :44.01
8
13
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction4.01 (3.94 - 4.1)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10
...
...
...
...
3.941
4.01
4.097
0.7%

What was the final result?4

Community Baseline Score
145.0
Community Peer Score
105.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe II
Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
Health & Pandemics
Environment & Climate
2023 Leaderboard
Washington metropolitan area
US Environmental Protection Agency
Climatology
Environmental science
Public health
Air quality index

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