Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Which week in late 2023 will influenza intensity levels first be categorized as moderate in at least one of Virginia's regions in the 2023-24 flu season?

Resolved :4346.2
3
2
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction46.2 (43.7 - 48.6)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
43.71
46.18
48.57

What was the final result?43

Community Baseline Score
-1.9
Community Peer Score
27.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe II
Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
Health & Pandemics
2023 Leaderboard
Virginia
Public health
Medicine
Influenza
Virology
Influenza pandemic
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology

Comments

? comments