Question

How many days will any region in Virginia experience coastal flood, high wind, hurricane, or tropical storm in 2023?

Resolved :1310.3

18 comments18

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction10.3 (9.24 - 11.8)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20

...

9.244

10.26

11.81

1.3%

What was the final result?13

Community Baseline Score

14.3

Community Peer Score

32.0

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck jcrowvdh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

National Hurricane Center

Tropical cyclone

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

National Weather Service

NASA Images Reveal Deadly Cyclone From Space

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Atmospheric River to Cause Days of Flooding in Parts of Washington

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

11.4

Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

50%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck jcrowvdh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

National Hurricane Center

Tropical cyclone

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

National Weather Service

NASA Images Reveal Deadly Cyclone From Space

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Atmospheric River to Cause Days of Flooding in Parts of Washington

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

11.4

Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

50%

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

How many days will any region in Virginia experience coastal flood, high wind, hurricane, or tropical storm in 2023?

Make a Prediction

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Comments

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?