Question

What will be the highest daily Heat Related Illness (HRI) visit count in Virginia in 2023?

Resolved :115115

15 comments15

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction115 (114 - 116)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<50

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>200

...

0.2%

113.7

115

116.4

0.3%

What was the final result?115

Community Baseline Score

105.3

Community Peer Score

37.5

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Wild temperature swings are coming the rest of the year. Here’s what to expect

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

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USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

What will be the highest single-day temperature recorded at Dust Up Ranch in 2025?

43.5

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Wild temperature swings are coming the rest of the year. Here’s what to expect

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

Election overload? Recall 2024's other top stories: Eclipse, bridge collapse, more

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

What will be the highest single-day temperature recorded at Dust Up Ranch in 2025?

43.5

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the highest daily Heat Related Illness (HRI) visit count in Virginia in 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

What will be the highest single-day temperature recorded at Dust Up Ranch in 2025?

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

What will be the highest single-day temperature recorded at Dust Up Ranch in 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

What will be the highest single-day temperature recorded at Dust Up Ranch in 2025?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

What will be the highest single-day temperature recorded at Dust Up Ranch in 2025?