Question

What will be the total daily Heat Related Illness (HRI) visit counts in Virginia in 2023?

Resolved :2.65k2.66k

14 comments14

Total Forecasters35

Community Prediction2.66k (2.63k - 2.72k)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1.5k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>3.5k

...

0.4%

2.631k

2.662k

2.722k

0.7%

What was the final result?2.65k

Community Baseline Score

51.1

Community Peer Score

30.9

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Temperatures soar with heatwave to hit Melbourne and western Sydney as fire bans declared

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Temperatures reach 45C in parts of Australia as December record forecast to tumble in NSW

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

6.96

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

Temperatures soar with heatwave to hit Melbourne and western Sydney as fire bans declared

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Temperatures reach 45C in parts of Australia as December record forecast to tumble in NSW

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

The Most Significant U.S. Weather Events Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

6.96

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the total daily Heat Related Illness (HRI) visit counts in Virginia in 2023?

Make a Prediction

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Comments

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?