Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many tornado segments will be reported in Virginia in 2023?

Resolved :66.27
2
9
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction6.27 (5.71 - 7.17)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
...
...
...
...
5.711
6.266
7.173
0.1%

What was the final result?6

Community Baseline Score
76.1
Community Peer Score
61.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe II
Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
Health & Pandemics
Environment & Climate
2023 Leaderboard
Virginia
National Weather Service
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Storm Prediction Center

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