Question

What will the the total value of property damage (in US dollars) caused by tornados be in Virginia in 2023?

Resolved :20.1M20.4M

2 comments2

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction20.4M (19.8M - 21.3M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>50M

...

19.76M

20.38M

21.32M

0.3%

What was the final result?20.1M

Community Baseline Score

109.4

Community Peer Score

65.7

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

2023 Leaderboard

Virginia

Tornado

National Weather Service

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Rare California tornado injures 5, flips vehicles north of Santa Cruz

NBC•Dec 16, 2024

Severe winter storms wallop the U.S. with snow, ice and a tornado in California

PBS NewsHour•Dec 16, 2024

Video shows tornado flips cars, damages businesses in Northern California

New York Post•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

11.4

What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

2.81k

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe II

Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series

Health & Pandemics

Environment & Climate

2023 Leaderboard

Virginia

Tornado

National Weather Service

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Rare California tornado injures 5, flips vehicles north of Santa Cruz

NBC•Dec 16, 2024

Severe winter storms wallop the U.S. with snow, ice and a tornado in California

PBS NewsHour•Dec 16, 2024

Video shows tornado flips cars, damages businesses in Northern California

New York Post•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

11.4

What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

2.81k

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

48%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will the the total value of property damage (in US dollars) caused by tornados be in Virginia in 2023?

Make a Prediction

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

Comments

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years?

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?