🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season on September 30, 2023?

Resolved :125124
16
30
Total Forecasters109
Community Prediction124 (122 - 127)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<30
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>225
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
121.9
124.4
126.6
0.2%

What was the final result?125

Community Baseline Score
54.4
Community Peer Score
16.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Environment & Climate
2023 Leaderboard
Meteorology
Atlantic hurricane season
Accumulated cyclone energy
Colorado State University
Climatology
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Climate change denial

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