Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here β€” $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Ukraine regain control of central Bakhmut by the end of September 2023?

Resolved :No0.5%
22
59
Total Forecasters337
Community Prediction0.5% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
70.6
Community Peer Score
25.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrisonEvanHarpernorick
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
πŸ† Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup πŸ†
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard
Bakhmut
Wagner Group
Volodymyr Zelensky
Ukraine
Donetsk Oblast
Russia

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