Question

Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

jackrafferty

Opened:

Jul 23, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Why Meta Platforms stock jumped 18% in January

USA Today•Feb 12, 2025

Jack Dorsey says Bluesky's rapid growth is because 'people are running away from X'

Business Insider•Feb 17, 2025

Some secondary buyers are finally showing interest in X, formerly known as Twitter, to ride the Trump wave

Business Insider•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%

Will Mark Zuckerberg remain as CEO of Meta Platforms until October 21, 2031?

60%

When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?

2025-08-31

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jackrafferty

Opened:

Jul 23, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Why Meta Platforms stock jumped 18% in January

USA Today•Feb 12, 2025

Jack Dorsey says Bluesky's rapid growth is because 'people are running away from X'

Business Insider•Feb 17, 2025

Some secondary buyers are finally showing interest in X, formerly known as Twitter, to ride the Trump wave

Business Insider•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

23%

Will Mark Zuckerberg remain as CEO of Meta Platforms until October 21, 2031?

60%

When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?

2025-08-31