Question

Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction53% (30% - 70%)

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50%

community: 53%

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Authors:

norick

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Stonehenge's 'Unique' Feature Hints at Hidden Purpose

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Stonehenge may have united ancient Britons before European populations replaced them

CNN•Dec 20, 2024

New discoveries could rewrite the history of early Americans — and the 4-ton sloths they lived with

CBS•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

84.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

norick

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Stonehenge's 'Unique' Feature Hints at Hidden Purpose

Newsweek•Dec 20, 2024

Stonehenge may have united ancient Britons before European populations replaced them

CNN•Dec 20, 2024

New discoveries could rewrite the history of early Americans — and the 4-ton sloths they lived with

CBS•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

84.4%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?

Make a Prediction

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

Comments

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?