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Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?

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Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction53%

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community: 53%

median 53.0%mean 47.6%

Authors:

norick

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Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

88%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

norick

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Archaeologists perplexed to find mysterious prehistoric grave with twice more women buried than men

Independent•Oct 1, 2024

Archaeologists discover 5,000-year-old ancient community in Morocco

FOX News•Oct 1, 2024

Skeletons Discovered in Medieval Fort May be Victims of Mongol Invaders

Newsweek•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

88%

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Longbets: Will there be archaeological discoveries demonstrating equal or greater architectural advancement to the monuments at Göbekli Tepe, dating from before 11,000 BC by 2043?

Make a Prediction

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

Comments

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will a major cryptid discovery be made by 2040?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?