Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

If Sahra Wagenknecht founds a new party, what percentage of the votes will this party get in the next German federal elections?

3
4
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction6.33 (4.4 - 8.42)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>20
...
...
...
...
4.396
6.335
8.424
0.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jowo
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Bundestag
Die Linke
Germany
Sahra Wagenknecht
Aufstehen
German federal election

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