Question

If Sahra Wagenknecht founds a new party, what percentage of the votes will this party get in the next German federal elections?

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction4.88 (3.93 - 6.13)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>20
community	3.933	4.881	6.126	0.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	3.933	—
median	4.881	—
upper 75%	6.126	—
Upper bound
>20	0.1%	—

Authors:

jowo

Opened:

Aug 3, 2023

Closes:

Oct 25, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

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