Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the second Starship test flight occur?

Resolved :Above upper bound2023-10-01
16
43
Total Forecasters158
Community Prediction2023-10-01 (2023-10-01 - 2023-10-01)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2023-10-01
...
...
...
...
>2023-10-01 00:00
>2023-10-01 00:00
>2023-10-01 00:00
95.9%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
109.7
Community Peer Score
35.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Zaldath
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Economy & Business
Technology
2023 Leaderboard
SpaceX Starship
Elon Musk
1957 in spaceflight

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