Question

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%

4 comments4

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

73.6

Community Peer Score

12.6

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Jul 21, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Space

Natural Sciences

2021-2025 Leaderboard

University of California, Berkeley

Papua New Guinea

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Associated Press•Jan 30, 2025

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Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?

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