Question

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

38 comments38

Total Forecasters211

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

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50%

community: 1%

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Authors:

guff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Daniel B. Shapiro

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Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

62%

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

guff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Daniel B. Shapiro

Bahrain–Israel relations

Foreign Policy in the Second Trump Administration Takes Shape

•Dec 16, 2024

The UK’s Major Deal With Saudi Arabia Is Another Sign of the Kingdom’s Growing Cultural Cachet

Observer (NY)•Dec 17, 2024

Expand the Abraham Accords to Central Asia | Opinion

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

62%

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

25%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

Comments

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?