Question

Will a Navy ship be captured, scuttled, sunk, or critically damaged in the Black Sea before 2025?

Resolved :Yes

45 comments45

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.3

Community Peer Score

0.5

median 95.0%mean 92.4%

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Ukrainian frigate Hetman Sahaydachniy

Turkish Naval Forces

Bosporus

Montreux Convention Regarding the Regime of the Straits

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58.5%

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