Question

Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction50% (17% - 74%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Nov 10, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

AGI Outcomes

AI Safety

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Polarity (international relations)

Gross domestic product

Nick Bostrom

Singleton (mathematics)

What Is DeepSeek, the New Chinese OpenAI Rival?

Time•Jan 28, 2025

China's DeepSeek Bombshell Rocks Trump's $500B AI Boondoggle

Lew Rockwell•Jan 28, 2025

Augmenting Humanity: Exploring the Essential Foundations of Artificial Ultra-Intelligence

Newsweek•Jan 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a positive transition to a world with radically smarter-than-human artificial intelligence?

53%

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

50%

Comments

? comments