Question

Will a US warship enter the Black Sea before September 25, 2023?

Resolved :No

21 comments21

Total Forecasters204

Community Prediction0.6%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.6%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

98.5

Community Peer Score

3.1

median 0.6%mean 1.7%

Authors:

Onikolenko

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Ukrainian Sea Ports Authority

Montreux Convention Regarding the Regime of the Straits

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

10%

Comments

? comments