10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

conditional

condition

US Hyperinflation Before 2050

9 forecasters

if yes

if no

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

17%

10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities

11%

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Make a Prediction

US Hyperinflation Before 2050	10% agricul. drop leading to >400M fatalities
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 16.7%

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Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Bureau of Labor Statistics

UNICEF

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If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

34.7%

US unemployment rate 10% before 2031? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

Will annual US inflation reach 100% in any year before 2050?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Bureau of Labor Statistics

UNICEF

2025 Outlook: Five Trends That Will Impact The Economy And Markets

Forbes•Dec 24, 2024

What Will 2025 Bring - A Fiscal Hangover From Elections

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

Trump’s tariffs could usher in a worst-case economic scenario not seen since the 1970s

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If there's a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2030, will this cause >400 million fatalities?

34.7%