Question

Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?

Resolved :No66%

47 comments47

Total Forecasters336

Community Prediction66% (53% - 76%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 66%

Did this actually happen?No

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-14.8

Community Peer Score

21.1

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Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Waymo Robotaxis Are Heading To Tokyo For Their First Overseas Road Tests

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

The end of Cruise is the beginning of a risky new phase for autonomous vehicles

Verge•Dec 13, 2024

GM Stops Funding Robotaxi

•Dec 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Waymo Robotaxis Are Heading To Tokyo For Their First Overseas Road Tests

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

The end of Cruise is the beginning of a risky new phase for autonomous vehicles

Verge•Dec 13, 2024

GM Stops Funding Robotaxi

•Dec 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

80%

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Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?

Make a Prediction

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

Comments

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?