Question

Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?

Resolved :No

47 comments47

Total Forecasters336

Community Prediction66%

Make a Prediction

community: 66%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-14.8

Community Peer Score

21.1

median 66.0%mean 63.6%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

22%

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

83%

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