Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the oil transfer from the FSO Safer finish in 19 days?

Resolved :Yes98%
6
31
Total Forecasters93
Community Prediction98% (95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
64.1
Community Peer Score
4.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
kqr
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Environment & Climate
Economy & Business
2023 Leaderboard
Yemen
United Nations
FSO Safer
Oil

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