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Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

18 comments18

Forecast Timeline

Nova Kakhovka

Tokmak

Polohy

Svatove

Bakhmut

Melitopol

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
Nova Kakhovka	14%

Tokmak	10%

Polohy	10%

Svatove	7%

Bakhmut	5%

Melitopol	4%

Sievierodonetsk	2%

Starobil's'k	2%

Luhansk	2%

Simferopol	1%

Donetsk	1%

Mariupol	1%

Dzhankoi	1%

Armiansk	1%

Authors:

TNTOutburst

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Tokmak, Zaporizhia Oblast

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

Comments

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Authors:

TNTOutburst

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Tokmak, Zaporizhia Oblast

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Why Russia Will Likely Take All of Ukraine

Lew Rockwell•Oct 30, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%