Question

When will room-temperature and -pressure superconductivity be achieved?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction2051-02-10

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2080-01-02

...

2034-05-26 01:33

2051-02-10 21:21

>2080-01-02 00:00

25.5%

Authors:

j.m.

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Scheduled resolution:

Superconductor Frontiers

Natural Sciences

Technology

Technological applications of superconductivity

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Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

0.2%

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?

0.1%

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?

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