Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

Forecast and Share Your Reasoning With GiveWell by January 1st — $3,500 in prizes

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M

Question

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?

15
23
Total Forecasters159
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 0.1%)

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50%
community: 0.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Superconductor Frontiers
Natural Sciences
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Meissner effect
Technological applications of superconductivity
High-temperature superconductivity
Physics
Materials science
Thermodynamics
Electrical engineering
Superconductivity

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