Question

Will ECOWAS launch a military intervention in Niger before August 12, 2023?

Resolved :No

84 comments84

Total Forecasters151

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

73.2

Community Peer Score

8.8

median 1.0%mean 1.8%

Authors:

Sourian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economic Community of West African States

2010 Nigerien coup d'état

Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025?

Will there be a successful coup in Cameroon before 2026?

19%

When will the next Presidential Election be held in Mali?

2026-04-18

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Sourian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economic Community of West African States

2010 Nigerien coup d'état

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025?

Will there be a successful coup in Cameroon before 2026?

19%

When will the next Presidential Election be held in Mali?

2026-04-18