Question

Will ECOWAS intervene militarily in Niger before October 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1%

47 comments47

Total Forecasters141

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

63.4

Community Peer Score

20.2

Authors:

Pelagia425

Opened:

Aug 10, 2023

Closes:

Oct 1, 2023

Resolves:

Oct 3, 2023

Economic Community of West African States

2010 Nigerien coup d'état

Difficult to trust the resource nationalism of Niger’s military government

Al Jazeera•Jan 26, 2025

3 coup-hit West African nations formally leave ECOWAS regional bloc

Associated Press•Jan 30, 2025

Military governments lead West African trio out of ECOWAS regional bloc

Al Jazeera•Jan 29, 2025

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