Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here β€” $2,500 in prizes

M

conditional
condition

ECOWAS Intervention Before August 12, 2023?

Resolved :No
67 forecasters
if yes
if no

Mohamed Bazoum in Power By August 31, 2023?

15%
15%
Resolved :Annulled15%

Mohamed Bazoum in Power By August 31, 2023?

5%
5%
Resolved :No5%
6
10

Make a Prediction

ECOWAS Intervention Before August 12, 2023?

Mohamed Bazoum in Power By August 31, 2023?

50%
community: 15%
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
πŸ† Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup πŸ†
Geopolitics
2023 Leaderboard
African Union
Niger
Mohamed Bazoum
Economic Community of West African States
2010 Nigerien coup d'Γ©tat

Comments

? comments