Question

Will David Chalmers believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction57%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 57%

median 57.0%mean 54.7%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Computational theory of mind

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

25%

By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Computational theory of mind

Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

Line go up.

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Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

25%

By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

33%