M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?

6
31
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction13%

Make a Prediction

community: 13%
median 13.0%mean 19.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Spirit59
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Robotics
Machine learning
Turing test
Cognitive science
Technology
Computer science
Artificial intelligence
MIT Technology Review
Reinforcement learning
List of news media APIs

Comments

? comments