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How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

4 forecasters

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Year	25th	median	75th
2031	35.2 ...	37.4 ...	39.6 ...
2051	34.3 ...	38 ...	41.5 ...
2091	35.1 ...	40.1 ...	44.6 ...

weight:

My Prediction

community

<25

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>65

...

0.3%

35.19

37.38

39.61

0.1%

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

2091

2051

2031

Authors:

job85555

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Politics

Gross domestic product

United States

Economist: Government Spending Spurred Inflation

PJ Media•Dec 18, 2024

Timeline of more than 20 U.S. government shutdowns over nearly 50 years

USA Today•Dec 20, 2024

These Are The Likely Economic Impacts Of A Government Shutdown

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

128

What percent of GDP will the United States spend on healthcare in 2030?

16.8

Comments

? comments

Authors:

job85555

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Politics

Gross domestic product

United States

Economist: Government Spending Spurred Inflation

PJ Media•Dec 18, 2024

Timeline of more than 20 U.S. government shutdowns over nearly 50 years

USA Today•Dec 20, 2024

These Are The Likely Economic Impacts Of A Government Shutdown

Forbes•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

128

What percent of GDP will the United States spend on healthcare in 2030?

16.8

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How much will the U.S. government spend, as a percentage of GDP, in the following years?

Make a Prediction

Forecast Timeline

What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

What percent of GDP will the United States spend on healthcare in 2030?

Comments

What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

What percent of GDP will the United States spend on healthcare in 2030?

What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

What percent of GDP will the United States spend on healthcare in 2030?

What will be the United States Government Spending to GDP for 2024?

What will the United States' federal debt-to-GDP ratio be in the following years?

What percent of GDP will the United States spend on healthcare in 2030?