🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?

41
261
406 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 322

Make a Prediction

StatesMe
Pennsylvania
yes
Alaska
yes
Ohio
yes
Florida
yes
Texas
yes
Maine (2nd CD)
yes
Iowa
yes
Arizona
yes
North Carolina
yes
Georgia
yes
Nevada
yes
Wisconsin
yes
Michigan
yes
Nebraska (2nd CD)
no
Virginia
no
New Hampshire
no
Maine (statewide)
no
Minnesota
no
New Mexico
no
Colorado
no
New Jersey
no
New York
no
Maine (1st CD)
no
Resolved Nov 5, 2024
Community Baseline Score
-23.6
Community Peer Score
17.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Virginia
US Electoral College
New Mexico
Colorado
Nevada
Arizona
2024 Elections (US)
Michigan
Georgia (U.S. state)

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