M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

How much will Donald Trump's Republican primary polling average change two weeks after the first debate?

Resolved :8e-1
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction-1.52

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<-8
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>8
...
...
...
...
...
1.3%
-3.14
-1.52
7.73e-2
0.2%

What was the final result?8e-1



Comments

? comments