Question

Will Polarized 3D vision tech be used on self-driving cars by 2019?

Resolved :No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction46%

Make a Prediction

community: 46%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

20.2

Community Peer Score

16.2

median 46.0%mean 44.6%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Technology

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

2030-04-17

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

90%

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

83%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Technology

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

2030-04-17

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

90%

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

83%