conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Trump participates in first debate? | Trump Polling Change Two Weeks After Debate? |
---|---|
My Prediction: - | |
My Prediction: - |
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<-8 | 1.6% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | -1.437 | — |
median | 0.1445 | — |
upper 75% | 1.597 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>8 | 0.9% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2023
Closes:Sep 1, 2023
Resolves:Sep 7, 2023
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Aug 11, 2023
Closes:Sep 1, 2023
Resolves:Sep 7, 2023