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What will the median % prevalence of EG.5 in the US for the biweekly periods shown below?
7
12 comments
12
38 forecasters
Make a Prediction
Bi-weekly period
resolution
August 19
18.1
September 2
22.2
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
20.33
24.46
29.92
What was the final result?
18.1
Community Baseline Score
53.8
Community Peer Score
7.5
Additional Scores
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Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
August 19
September 2
Background Info
Authors:
IY
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Natural Sciences
2023 Leaderboard
Infectious disease
Omicron
United States
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology
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Authors:
IY
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Natural Sciences
2023 Leaderboard
Infectious disease
Omicron
United States
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
World Health Organization
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
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