Question

Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction98%

Make a Prediction

community: 98%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-277.7

Community Peer Score

10.9

median 98.0%mean 95.5%

Authors:

awesome_ruler_007

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bharatiya Janata Party

Rahul Gandhi

Indian National Congress

Will there be a non-BJP Prime Minister of India before 2030?

45%

What will be India's score in the Democracy Index in 2030?

6.62

[Short Fuse] Will the Botswana Democratic Party win the 2024 general election?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

awesome_ruler_007

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bharatiya Janata Party

Rahul Gandhi

Indian National Congress

Biggest Kashmir party opposed to India’s stripping of region’s autonomy wins most seats in election

Associated Press•Oct 8, 2024

Who won election in Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir? Mixed results for Modi’s BJP

Independent•Oct 8, 2024

Party opposed to India’s stripping of Kashmir’s autonomy wins election

Al Jazeera•Oct 8, 2024

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Will there be a non-BJP Prime Minister of India before 2030?

45%

What will be India's score in the Democracy Index in 2030?

6.62