Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Ecuador's state of emergency be extended beyond the initial 60 days?

Resolved :Yes50%
3
5
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction50% (49% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-0.0
Community Peer Score
5.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
National Assembly (Ecuador)
Ecuador

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