Question

Will Ecuador's state of emergency be extended beyond the initial 60 days?

Resolved :Yes

5 comments5

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction50%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-0.0

Community Peer Score

5.8

median 50.0%mean 50.6%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

National Assembly (Ecuador)

Ecuador

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Who will win the 2025 election for President of Ecuador?

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

National Assembly (Ecuador)

Ecuador

Ecuador prison violence kills at least 15

Associated Press•Nov 13, 2024

At Least 15 People Killed, 14 Injured in Prison Fight

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

At least 15 dead as inmates clash at notorious Ecuadorian prison

CNN•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Who will win the 2025 election for President of Ecuador?

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%