Question

Will Donald Trump be charged with witness tampering in Georgia before June 1, 2024?

Resolved :No

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Total Forecasters59

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community: 1%

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-37.3

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53.6

median 1.0%mean 2.8%

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NMorrison

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If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2025-12-14

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

12%

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

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Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Trump trials: Here's what was in the evidence document Trump really didn't want unsealed.

Slate•Oct 23, 2024

Trump courts voters in Georgia: 5 top moments from Duluth rally

USA Today•Oct 24, 2024

Trump claims Biden’s ‘lock him up’ remark proves the criminal cases against him are politically motivated

New York Post•Oct 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2025-12-14

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

12%