Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election?

6
16
39 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 33

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
Daniel Noboa Azín
yes
Luisa González
no
Xavier Hervas
no
Yaku Pérez Guartambel
no
Otto Sonnenholzner
no
Jan Topić
no
Bolívar Armijos
no
Christian Zurita
no
Resolved Oct 16, 2023
Community Baseline Score
-49.5
Community Peer Score
35.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
duck_master
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
Otto Sonnenholzner
Christian Rodrigo Zurita
Pachakutik Plurinational Unity Movement – New Country
Citizen Revolution Movement
RETE Movement
Democratic Left (Ecuador)
Ecuador

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